{"id":"123329cb-0c88-4c76-b4cc-38b2c3c816df","title":"[討論] 有人新北預測李四川會贏改蘇巧慧嗎？","firstAt":"2026-08-28 15:00:00+08","lastAt":"2026-09-23 17:11:09+08","items":23,"sources":18,"summary":"2026年新北市長選舉民調顯示李四川與蘇巧慧競爭激烈。9月初李四川整體領先6.7個百分點，但在板橋、年輕票落後。月底民調出現變化，蘇巧慧領先李四川1.1%，獲得38.2%支持度。\n後續：9月初李四川民調領先，但自承在板橋地區及年輕選票上落後；9月22日社群預測李四川6成對蘇巧慧4成；9月23日最新民調顯示蘇巧慧反超李四川1.1個百分點，近兩成小草選民從李四川轉向蘇巧慧","summaryAt":"2026-09-23 12:40:14.791526+08","days":[{"d":"08-28","n":1},{"d":"09-07","n":1},{"d":"09-12","n":1},{"d":"09-13","n":3},{"d":"09-16","n":1},{"d":"09-22","n":1},{"d":"09-23","n":16}],"first":[{"title":"五大人設崩壞翻車！顏蔚慈：連淺藍都不想看到李四川","source":"FTNN 新聞","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiS0FVX3lxTE40RDBtSTM4TTBURXVOZEJsRHV6QnlrTEJENXM5U1hRNC11enZuR0FDNkZxZGdfYzhGbV9WZFhRM29FeEZkNlo5N0tFZw?oc=5","at":"2026-08-28 15:00:00+08"},{"title":"民調整體領先6.7個百分點 李四川談板橋、年輕票落後：用政見爭取支持","source":"UDN","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiU0FVX3lxTE1JVjlQelNkNmRrZlpyZXRYTUFvTS1PcU5NS0ZlTHRQV2lWdG4zdUNQOFNYdTBtSlc1WnFFb0FfS0NWZG11ZDVxRERRcjRaZ3lwRkJr0gFYQVVfeXFMTU5EQ2dicE45aWxsOHkzUGZrTDY5XzNoQmhrXzJZN3ZybW53SG00SGFxSkY1emZHdmdzZXNpaVdwNHY5SmlUUzRHUElKakpadjAtcVlMckZUTw?oc=5","at":"2026-09-07 15:00:00+08"},{"title":"酸李四川8年完工大巨蛋他爆「卓冠廷大料」：打臉蘇巧慧- 政治","source":"中時新聞網","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMibkFVX3lxTE9HbW01NG1yc2Z6YzdIdk9QQTkzLWFCVHNSWWZ4LVpfeDlLTVlrUW1uZkdFTWdEOHdjbUFKd05yMWpBbXB6NG1rSHJMYVhoeTlSTVp1S1NpVXd2X3Y5enN5SXNJZGdfUThuSklMUml3?oc=5","at":"2026-09-12 15:00:00+08"}],"latest":[{"title":"李四川民調落後蘇巧慧1.1%！江怡臻曝內參數字「真實差距」","source":"中天新聞網","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiU0FVX3lxTE56OVJQVTBaWm9ENjAyUEhaME5zenBrc3hVdkItcjZyMURLZW8xYlpZc0NER3hqeGlNWlptMldCYWZHZG9XSmxZRGI5YTZwdWxWTHNR?oc=5","at":"2026-09-23 17:11:09+08"},{"title":"李四川危險了？支持度落後蘇巧慧1.1％ 江怡臻曝內參民調真實差距- 政治","source":"中時新聞網","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMibkFVX3lxTFBGTjVUQmx2TEJiZlVqbDM3aVVqOUo2M0hsMjlFR19oVUFHdVIzcTd5SEREeDlVNzNxamFvZVlCUWZ4alBZUVdtTHo0Uy1FN2V1R2YxbEhTdkJoX1Q5S1RwV0ZVMG8xX3BjUDZ6eTVn?oc=5","at":"2026-09-23 15:27:21+08"},{"title":"【震傳媒民調】新北市長民調蘇巧慧38.2％小幅領先 李四川看好度仍占上風","source":"上報","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiW0FVX3lxTE5qb0Y4M3dzN1JxcFhCZktlMHpkTW1nYmhLMXpGRDVNb3UyLUFoQjFHQmdUbS1MX0pZN2VBbTJxRWVNWXNLX3Vfdmg3RFp6eVZfQXNGOXFYWFZLREk?oc=5","at":"2026-09-23 15:18:00+08"},{"title":"震傳媒民調蘇巧慧也超越李四川 翁震州：證明國民黨抹黑戰帶來反效果","source":"政治新聞 - 自由時報","url":"https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/5583503","at":"2026-09-23 13:10:16+08"},{"title":"震傳媒民調（一）／藍白合也沒用？新北市民38.2%支持蘇巧慧、37.1%挺李四川 雙方差距1.1%！","source":"zmedia.com.tw","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiW0FVX3lxTE94NHpKeVZGVkV3NTJYZzFxdzByTjFSbUFDcF94UzM3U3J3SmRUVnlheXBkR3NwR00xZEduSnQzVmZhVVZTMVlqWkR4UmdXUkhqaHhkMnhGc3VOTk0?oc=5","at":"2026-09-23 13:03:45+08"}],"topics":[],"county":{"code":"65000","name":"新北市"},"topicCat":"governance","topic":"選情分析","people":[{"name":"卓冠廷","candidateId":"cd210316-4dc0-45ad-baf8-be786844501c","raceId":"2026-MC-65000-08","party":"民主進步黨"},{"name":"李四川","candidateId":"5ede3320-b59b-41c8-ad1e-cfe702dfc5c9","raceId":"2026-MM-65000-00","party":"中國國民黨"},{"name":"江怡臻","candidateId":"73f46a29-ac16-4e13-8491-251afa1c69a6","raceId":"2022-MC-65000-08","party":"中國國民黨"},{"name":"翁震州","candidateId":"7d6a6c9c-c7f8-4d21-8149-358e78a7f030","raceId":"2026-MC-65000-03","party":"民主進步黨"},{"name":"蘇巧慧","candidateId":"026a5b22-c6b9-4ac2-8a82-5fada3126948","raceId":"2026-MM-65000-00","party":"民主進步黨"},{"name":"顏蔚慈","candidateId":"d135cf8f-68e0-4dd0-abe3-1aa9b646332c","raceId":"2026-MC-65000-04","party":"民主進步黨"}],"races":[{"raceId":"2026-MM-65000-00","label":"新北市直轄市長"},{"raceId":"2026-MC-65000-08","label":"新北市第08選舉區直轄市議員"},{"raceId":"2026-MC-65000-04","label":"新北市第04選舉區直轄市議員"},{"raceId":"2026-MC-65000-03","label":"新北市第03選舉區直轄市議員"}],"towns":["65000010","65000050"],"tags":[{"tag":"選情分析","n":20},{"tag":"議員爭議","n":3},{"tag":"政策推廣","n":1}],"sourceList":[{"source":"政治新聞 - 自由時報","n":3},{"source":"UDN","n":3},{"source":"中時新聞網","n":2},{"source":"Yahoo新聞","n":2},{"source":"news.ltn.com.tw","n":1},{"source":"Newtalk新聞","n":1},{"source":"PTT/HatePolitics","n":1},{"source":"zmedia.com.tw","n":1},{"source":"三立新聞","n":1},{"source":"上報","n":1},{"source":"中國評論新聞","n":1},{"source":"中天新聞網","n":1}],"posts":[]}