{"id":"6d785cb5-23f0-4f8d-b30e-a09b86f4171f","title":"曹興誠要發布台北市長民調？看到消息，我真的滿頭問號。","firstAt":"2026-09-21 17:39:41+08","lastAt":"2026-09-22 17:47:12+08","items":19,"sources":6,"summary":"曹興誠的信民協會發布台北市長民調，顯示沈伯洋與蔣萬安差距僅1.2百分點。楊植斗質疑民調公正性，指曹興誠秘書黃秀錦曾公開力挺沈伯洋，質詢民調委託方、執行方與題目設計等細節。\n後續：沈伯洋回應民調結構質疑，解釋差距可能因藍營支持者不願表態或回答；蔣萬安反問『大罷免的曹興誠？』質疑其影響力。；綠營人士吳欣岱、何孟樺等讚沈伯洋表現，認可如2019年蔣英文翻轉聲勢；李正皓自嘲若沈伯洋贏將剃光頭。；曹興誠早期力挺沈伯洋的評論被視為先知；資深媒體人5月即預告沈伯洋為黑馬，近期預測應驗。","summaryAt":"2026-09-22 18:40:04.577209+08","days":[{"d":"09-21","n":2},{"d":"09-22","n":17}],"first":[{"title":"曹興誠要發布台北市長民調？看到消息，我真的滿頭問號。","source":"臉書・楊植斗","url":"https://www.facebook.com/tepdj/posts/pfbid02w17S9wkAU6Gk3sHwY75AH5o1NRnho7r6F5YCxhHe4AcoeTLZXM2SneqZwgvGdeYzl","at":"2026-09-21 17:39:41+08"},{"title":"信民協會將發布台北市長民調楊植斗嗆曹興誠：秘書公開力挺沈伯洋大罷免模式換個舞台繼續帶風向？","source":"winnews.com.tw","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiSkFVX3lxTFBsZnJoSXhyUkd1OUpZVWlIT3hLUC0yMjE5R3k0U1Q2Ulk4dmhfdXBwUVZQc2JMamRETmMydFR1NGMyWUx2TG1NU1RB?oc=5","at":"2026-09-21 22:45:00+08"},{"title":"台北市長民調僅輸1.2百分點 吳欣岱讚沈伯洋：他的亮眼表現並非橫空出世！","source":"Newtalk新聞","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiW0FVX3lxTE80OTJmaWpYV1g4U2FBcmhoUGNYbzNyTy1DaFJOMFZmOG83WEVRVnV5RTYzblpQTnNjYmp5UFJILXpqallMTFNWUGVsVmpPbTdydkE3cFp4S1pYZXc?oc=5","at":"2026-09-22 14:46:18+08"}],"latest":[{"title":"沈伯洋民調直逼蔣萬安！林濁水點名藍營「4大戰犯」傑作","source":"即時新聞 - 自由時報","url":"https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/5582695","at":"2026-09-22 17:47:12+08"},{"title":"不只藍崩潰！沈伯洋緊追蔣萬安 紅媒記者聽到40.5％秒發文：假民調","source":"政治新聞 - 自由時報","url":"https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/5582536","at":"2026-09-22 17:33:04+08"},{"title":"蔣萬安看好度仍領先沈伯洋！汪浩提1關鍵：看好度翻轉只是時間問題","source":"政治新聞 - 自由時報","url":"https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/5582576","at":"2026-09-22 16:54:57+08"},{"title":"台北市長民調亮點？　近半數時力支持者挺「麻將最大黨」多過沈伯洋","source":"鏡週刊 Mirror Media","url":"https://www.mirrormedia.mg/story/20260922edi029","at":"2026-09-22 16:50:00+08"},{"title":"真被「洋流」搞緊張了？ 藍議員爆1件事「連蔣萬安都在擔心」","source":"政治新聞 - 自由時報","url":"https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/5582540","at":"2026-09-22 16:24:00+08"}],"topics":[],"county":{"code":"63000","name":"臺北市"},"topicCat":"crossstrait","topic":"假訊息","people":[{"name":"何孟樺","candidateId":"8a24ecb6-e3e8-4568-8064-393f3885d35f","raceId":"2026-MC-63000-02","party":"民主進步黨"},{"name":"吳欣岱","candidateId":"04eaafdb-4310-40da-a64d-2c039f6063f3","raceId":"2026-MC-63000-02","party":"台灣基進"},{"name":"楊植斗","candidateId":"fe34204c-b50e-4783-a783-4cbbf438d519","raceId":"2026-MC-63000-06","party":"中國國民黨"},{"name":"沈伯洋","candidateId":"fddb30bc-b3eb-45eb-80c5-c336c186ce10","raceId":"2026-MM-63000-00","party":"民主進步黨"},{"name":"蔣萬安","candidateId":"2eec6c9c-4f55-4418-99e6-67e53242105a","raceId":"2026-MM-63000-00","party":"中國國民黨"}],"races":[{"raceId":"2026-MM-63000-00","label":"臺北市直轄市長"},{"raceId":"2026-MC-63000-06","label":"臺北市第06選舉區直轄市議員"},{"raceId":"2026-MC-63000-02","label":"臺北市第02選舉區直轄市議員"}],"towns":["63000060"],"tags":[{"tag":"選情分析","n":18},{"tag":"假訊息","n":1}],"sourceList":[{"source":"政治新聞 - 自由時報","n":13},{"source":"鏡週刊 Mirror Media","n":2},{"source":"Newtalk新聞","n":1},{"source":"winnews.com.tw","n":1},{"source":"即時新聞 - 自由時報","n":1},{"source":"臉書・楊植斗","n":1}],"posts":[{"source":"臉書・楊植斗","url":"https://www.facebook.com/tepdj/posts/pfbid02w17S9wkAU6Gk3sHwY75AH5o1NRnho7r6F5YCxhHe4AcoeTLZXM2SneqZwgvGdeYzl","at":"2026-09-21 17:39","text":"曹興誠要發布台北市長民調？\n看到消息，我真的滿頭問號。\n\n大罷免期間，曹興誠跟沈伯洋的關係有多密切，大家應該都還記得。\n現在曹興誠的「信民協會」，預計要發布台北市長民調，更巧的是，曹興誠的秘書、新聞窗口黃秀錦，還曾經公開發文大挺沈伯洋，大讚「台北值得沈伯洋」。\n\n我要問，這樣的民調要怎麼相信它的公正性？\n究竟是誰出錢？誰委託？誰執行？題目怎麼設計？抽樣方法是什麼？完整問卷敢不敢公布？\n\n更有趣的是，民進黨這幾天才拿著自己的「內部數據」大肆宣傳，說沈伯洋聲量超車蔣萬安、好感度「轉負為正」，甚至已經開始喊「牽制蔣萬安」到「怎麼贏得選戰」了。\n\n大罷免才過去多久，當時的動員、網路宣傳到青鳥出征、霸凌店家，大家都還記憶猶新。\n現在換成台北市長選舉，又看到熟悉的人、熟悉的團體出來發布民調，不免讓人聯想，大罷免模式是不是準備換個舞台、繼續帶風向了？\n\n自己的伯洋自己挺、自己的民調自己發，這樣的民調究竟是在測民意，還是在替沈伯洋造聲勢？\n拿著自己的數據吹捧，現在再等一份曹興誠的民調，民進黨就能一路解讀成「洋流席捲全台」，這樣的邏輯真的都「順起來」了！","images":[]}]}