{"id":"e58368de-484d-4bb5-b377-3f1d3ff96d00","title":"《聯合報》民調揭蔣萬安選情危機 藍營：逆流正是磨礪真本事時","firstAt":"2026-10-19 15:00:00+08","lastAt":"2026-10-29 05:30:00+08","items":34,"sources":23,"summary":"台北市長選舉民調顯示沈伯洋與蔣萬安激烈競爭。聯合報民調沈伯洋支持度45%、蔣萬安41%，領先4個百分點；但ET民調顯示蔣萬安48.6%領先沈伯洋41.1%，差距7.5%。藍營認為落後在誤差範圍內。\n後續：沈伯洋支持者主要來自前任市長陳時中選民，蔣萬安前支持者出現高度回流；聯合報民調顯示沈伯洋支持度領先但看好度落後於蔣萬安；不同民調機構結果差異大：聯合報民調沈領先4%，ET民調蔣領先7.5%","summaryAt":"2026-10-29 10:40:07.292391+08","days":[{"d":"10-19","n":1},{"d":"10-21","n":3},{"d":"10-28","n":26},{"d":"10-29","n":6}],"first":[{"title":"沈伯洋、蔣萬安台北激戰！黃暐瀚曝：3者到位「這人是1128當選人」","source":"Yahoo新聞","url":"https://news.google.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?oc=5","at":"2026-10-19 15:00:00+08"},{"title":"沈伯洋會贏台北市長選舉？黃暐瀚揭關鍵：中間選民支持勝蔣萬安","source":"自由時報","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTE5pTkdNVXZ4QU1mRk42ZnlBeTE2M0lUVEJ6SDZXU2IyeUJjcWtxelZ2V1dqM1B0bHplYnVpZ3h5MzFHUDNmaUtZaGNHOEtwS0lwUVdwUGE1V1NWMXUxR0ZxbG5sY0ZJVlEwd2fSAW9BVV95cUxPMEdTVzc5TGFTUVV2d1p1S0Zaa1dlQVF3M1lNQ3R4alQxcERSNTJoYks4VS1PazN6VENwR3dfSGV1U1Biekw0YXo1MkRoNWNVWXF0OHZfaFJHbGtlR2EtOFhIalRKUnBUTlRQeEx1ZkE?oc=5","at":"2026-10-21 06:14:52+08"},{"title":"台北市長選戰最新民調沈伯洋贏蔣萬安17％ 李明璇、賴苡任：驚世駭俗","source":"Life 生活網","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-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?oc=5","at":"2026-10-21 15:33:29+08"}],"latest":[{"title":"多項民調領先 沈伯洋：票票入匭最重要","source":"政治新聞 - 自由時報","url":"https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/paper/1776348","at":"2026-10-29 05:30:00+08"},{"title":"《聯合報》今天公布台北市長民調，民進黨候選人沈伯洋支持度 ...","source":"www.facebook.com","url":"https://www.facebook.com/61556567188337/posts/%E8%81%AF%E5%90%88%E5%A0%B1%E4%BB%8A%E5%A4%A9%E5%85%AC%E5%B8%83%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E9%95%B7%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF%E6%B0%91%E9%80%B2%E9%BB%A8%E5%80%99%E9%81%B8%E4%BA%BA%E6%B2%88%E4%BC%AF%E6%B4%8B%E6%94%AF%E6%8C%81%E5%BA%A645%E5%8B%9D%E9%81%8E%E5%9C%8B%E6%B0%91%E9%BB%A8%E8%94%A3%E8%90%AC%E5%AE%89%E7%9A%8441%E5%89%8D%E4%B8%AD%E5%BB%A3%E8%91%A3%E4%BA%8B%E9%95%B7%E8%B6%99%E5%B0%91%E5%BA%B7%E4%B8%8A%E5%8D%88%E4%B8%BB%E6%8C%81%E5%BB%A3%E6%92%AD%E7%AF%80%E7%9B%AE%E6%99%82%E9%80%8F%E9%9C%B2%E5%A4%A7%E7%B4%841%E5%80%8B%E6%9C%88%E5%89%8D%E4%BB%96%E8%87%AA%E5%B7%B1%E4%B9%9F%E5%81%9A%E4%BA%86%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF%E8%94%A3%E8%90%AC%E5%AE%89%E5%8F%AA%E8%B4%8F2%E5%80%8B%E7%99%BE/122327941508218906","at":"2026-10-29 01:07:10.312648+08"},{"title":"九合一選舉進入倒數，民進黨台北市長候選人沈伯洋聲勢 ...","source":"www.instagram.com","url":"https://www.instagram.com/p/DfBV-CPE3Hf","at":"2026-10-29 01:07:10.276016+08"},{"title":"與代表國民黨的現任市長蔣萬安在民調中互有 ...","source":"www.instagram.com","url":"https://www.instagram.com/p/DfCixFeDs10","at":"2026-10-29 01:07:10.229343+08"},{"title":"關注：蔣萬安陷苦戰 黃國昌點出王牌尊柯","source":"中國評論新聞","url":"http://hk.crntt.com/doc/46_21995_160282724_1_1029003645.html","at":"2026-10-29 00:37:03.157+08"}],"topics":[],"county":{"code":"63000","name":"臺北市"},"topicCat":"other","topic":"選情分析","people":[{"name":"李明璇","candidateId":"f3f3880d-e814-47ec-ab9e-81f96865a9b3","raceId":"2026-MC-63000-03","party":"中國國民黨"},{"name":"李明賢","candidateId":"d798df62-b21d-479d-9d11-531c68d6768f","raceId":"2026-MC-63000-02","party":"中國國民黨"},{"name":"楊植斗","candidateId":"fe34204c-b50e-4783-a783-4cbbf438d519","raceId":"2026-MC-63000-06","party":"中國國民黨"},{"name":"沈伯洋","candidateId":"fddb30bc-b3eb-45eb-80c5-c336c186ce10","raceId":"2026-MM-63000-00","party":"民主進步黨"},{"name":"蔣萬安","candidateId":"2eec6c9c-4f55-4418-99e6-67e53242105a","raceId":"2026-MM-63000-00","party":"中國國民黨"},{"name":"賴苡任","candidateId":"a9a38aa3-892e-45c4-a56a-5c9fad1dfae0","raceId":"2026-MC-63000-01","party":"中國國民黨"},{"name":"陳冠安","candidateId":"c1daffa3-ef18-4ebc-b7f3-50eb60124c38","raceId":"2026-MC-63000-02","party":"中國國民黨"}],"races":[{"raceId":"2026-MM-63000-00","label":"臺北市直轄市長"},{"raceId":"2026-MC-63000-06","label":"臺北市第06選舉區直轄市議員"},{"raceId":"2026-MC-63000-03","label":"臺北市第03選舉區直轄市議員"},{"raceId":"2026-MC-63000-02","label":"臺北市第02選舉區直轄市議員"},{"raceId":"2026-MC-63000-01","label":"臺北市第01選舉區直轄市議員"}],"towns":["63000100","63000110"],"tags":[{"tag":"選情分析","n":36}],"sourceList":[{"source":"PTT/Gossiping","n":3},{"source":"Life 生活網","n":3},{"source":"Yahoo新聞","n":3},{"source":"www.instagram.com","n":2},{"source":"中時新聞網","n":2},{"source":"tw.news.yahoo.com","n":2},{"source":"中國評論新聞","n":2},{"source":"政治新聞 - 自由時報","n":2},{"source":"TVBS新聞網","n":1},{"source":"LINE TODAY","n":1},{"source":"www.winnews.com.tw","n":1},{"source":"www.kmt.org.tw","n":1}],"posts":[]}